NC economy continues to decline

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NC State's Economics Department recently released its Index of North Carolina leading economic indicators, a report which forecasts the state's economic growth for the next four to six months. The index reports a decline of 0.8% in September, continuing the trend of slow decline. The Index has dropped in eight of the last twelve months. So much for the so-called "Carolina Comeback."

Read more at WRAL

The NCSU Index of North Carolina leading economic indicators, (the “Index”), a forecast of the economy’s direction four to six months ahead, declined by 0.8% in September. This continued a downward trend in the Index, which has dropped in eight of the past twelve months.

The pullback was widespread across all but one of the Index’s components – the exception being a decline (which is an improvement) in initial jobless claims.

It is noteworthy that the national index (ECRI-WLI) also retreated in the last month and during the past year. This suggests national factors are at least partially responsible for the expected slower growth path of North Carolina’s economy. In particular, sluggishness in the manufacturing sector – which is relatively twice as important in North Carolina than in the nation – is being impacted by the higher valued dollar and weakness in many foreign markets.

About the Index: The Index is composed of five components: the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI)’s Weekly Leading Index (, North Carolina initial claims for unemployment benefits, North Carolina building permits, average weekly hours of work of all North Carolina employees in manufacturing, and average weekly earnings of all North Carolina employees in manufacturing.       

All data are seasonally-adjusted and modified for differences in prices levels where appropriate. Data are from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the U.S. Census Bureau, and ECRI, whose permission to use their Weekly Leading Index is greatly appreciated. All calculations are done by Dr. Michael Walden.



  1. Betty's avatar
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    Gosh, I thought McCrory told us he and his crowd were going to bring jobs to N. C. and he was going to move us forward. I think he has been caught in another lie.
  2. Free Games Download's avatar
    Free Games Download
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    Today, North Carolina is at an important crossroads. To secure North Carolina’s economy, quality of life and treasured environment, the state must reinvigorate its commitment to land conservation.
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